Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Delaware Primary Results Breakdown: O'Donnell

Perennial candidate Christine O'Donnell has defeated long-term Republican politician and former governor Mike Castle. Although unofficial, I have broken down the primary by county, using the results from the primary, and the breakdown by representative district. 32% of registered Republicans came out to vote in the primary. O'Donnell won by approximately 3500 votes.

There are three counties in Delaware, with the bulk of the population in New Castle, the capital in Kent, and the beaches in Sussex. Generally New Castle is more Democratic, Sussex is more Republican, and Kent leans Republican. Representative districts (as broken down on the state page) are generally as follows.

New Castle: Rep. Districts 1-13, 15-27
Kent: Rep Districts 28-32, 34
Sussex: Rep districts 14, 33, 35-41

The voting breakdown by county:

New Castle:
Castle - 16942 votes over O'Donnell 12453 votes (Castle carries NCC by 4489 votes)

Kent:
O'Donnell 5069 votes over Castle 2918 votes (O'Donnell carries Kent by 2151 votes)

Sussex:
O'Donnell 13039 votes over Castle 7161 votes (O'Donnell carries Sussex by 5878 votes)

What I find most interesting in all of this is the high voter turnout in Sussex County.

Other things of note:
NCC: O'Donnell carried 10 out of the 26 districts but none of the big ones.
Kent: O'Donnell carried all six districts, the 30th district being the biggest margin
Sussex: O'Donnell carried all nine districts.

I'll leave the commentary about the candidates to the peanut gallery and the 24/7 media since this upset will undoubtedly give them plenty of talking points to bandy about in the news for a while. I stand by my prediction that Coons will now win Biden's vacant seat come November.

On the cusp of the Delaware primary: Castle (will) win

I have been asked to weigh in on the O'Donnell-Castle primary and for a number of reasons, I choose to decline comment at this time. As fun as it is getting roto-dialed by Sarah Palin, I cast my vote this morning for Castle. Nice try tea party express, but Delaware is different.

Contrary to the RCP poll which puts O'Donnell up 47-44, I highly doubt it will be that close. Election results will be posted on the Department of Election website. I note that while turnout in these primaries is historically low, I have no doubt that it will be enough for Castle to win the nomination. If for some reason he does not, Coons will win in November by an unprecedented landslide.

Apologies also for my long delay in posting. For a number of reasons, I have chosen to remain silent as far as internet posting. Over the next couple of months, however, I plan on returning and posting once again. Until then.