As pointed out in the article in today's paper, Tag #6 sold for a whopping $675,000. (By comparison of apples to oranges, the No. 1 tag in UAE sold for $14 million). Here's one way to look at this investment, other than potentially being the envy of a very select group of people.
The auction commission for these types of things varies between the ebay cost of approximately 5% to the Wilson auction cost of about 20%. If this tag had sold on ebay, the fees would have been approximately $35,500. At a 20% rate, the fee would have been $135,000. I'm sure the auctioneers of this auction took a commission somewhere in the middle. So, for my argument's sake, let's say if you sold your plate at auction, it would cost you about 10% in commissions based on final sale price.
Even at a conservative 2% interest rate, compounded quarterly, your $675,000 investment would appreciate to about $825,000 over 10 years. Invested in long term safe investments yielding 5% gives you around $1.1 million. The question is really whether you can get that much for the same plate years from now. Maybe. But the ceiling to these auctions isn't at the UAE's ridiculously high selling point. It's probably not that much higher than this conservative interest calculation. Plus, after you sell it, you've got to deal with the commissions. If you only got $825,000 for it, you're only pulling in $742,500 after a 10% commission, which turns out to be a pretty lousy investment. Just to get to the net of $825,000, the plate would have to sell around $915,000. Is that really realistic? I can't imagine that is the case absent some sort of crazy inflation over the next decade.
Of course, if you have this kind of money in disposable income, what is the point?
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